The pressure is on, I told Sean Payton last week. I correctly picked the past two Super Bowl champions. The Saints are my early favorite.
"Oh, my gosh," Payton said. "... I love knowing that somebody has picked us. I'm kind of excited."
The teams with continuity in their coaching staffs and with a veteran quarterback are the teams that have the best chance to win it all.
Here are my rankings before free agency:
1. New Orleans Saints: The Saints still have the core that won them the Super Bowl two years ago, including QB Drew Brees, and they got better in the draft.
2. Green Bay Packers: The Packers overcame losing a league-high 91 games by starters because of injury to win the Super Bowl.
3. New England Patriots: They still have Tom Brady, and now he has first-round pick OT Nate Solder to try to keep him upright in the playoffs.
4. San Diego Chargers: The Chargers ranked first in total offense and first in total defense, but their special teams kept them out of the playoffs.
5. Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons went 13-3 and earned a first-round playoff bye last season.
6. Pittsburgh Steelers: How much damage has LB James Harrison caused to this team?
7. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Vick completed 62.6 percent of his passes.
8. Baltimore Ravens
9. New York Jets
10. Houston Texans
11. Indianapolis Colts
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13. New York Giants
14. Detroit Lions
15. Dallas Cowboys
16. Chicago Bears
17. St. Louis Rams
18. Kansas City Chiefs
19. Oakland Raiders
20. Jacksonville Jaguars
21. Miami Dolphins
22. San Francisco 49ers
23. Buffalo Bills
24. Seattle Seahawks
25. Minnesota Vikings
26. Denver Broncos
27. Arizona Cardinals
28. Washington Redskins
29. Cleveland Browns
30. Cincinnati Bengals
31. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton is the future, but the present is bleak for this team.
32. Tennessee Titans