Where will Tropical Storm Nicole hit? Some possible paths in the Florida forecast

Where is Tropical Storm Nicole heading?

Based on the forecast from the National Hurricane Center, and the hurricane watches just issued, Florida will likely feel the storm in some form. But we don’t know yet exactly where the worst of the big storm will hit.

Note that the cone you see in the hurricane center forecast map covers a large swath of the east coast of Florida. And in a storm like this, rain, wind and surge might not come just from the center point.

READ MORE: Hurricane watch issued for Florida’s east coast ahead of Tropical Storm Nicole

But keep in mind that the National Hurricane Center has the only official map, and the one we should all be going by.

So-called spaghetti models, those clustered lines on a map showing where weather supercomputers predict the storm will head, are packed tightly together, suggesting high confidence in the prediction.

They differ slightly on where exactly Nicole will come ashore in Florida, and some show the storm curving north without exiting into the Gulf Coast at all. Others suggest the storm could curve out into the Gulf a little farther before heading back toward the north end of Florida.

READ MORE: Gov. DeSantis issues emergency declaration for 34 counties ahead of storm Nicole

Here is a look at some of the possible “spaghetti model” paths out there.

This story was originally published November 7, 2022 at 12:49 PM with the headline "Where will Tropical Storm Nicole hit? Some possible paths in the Florida forecast."

Jeff Kleinman

Miami Herald

305-376-3561

Consumer Team Editor Jeff Kleinman oversees coverage for health, shopping, real estate, tourism and recalls/scams/fraud.